January 16, 2005
Indian Ocean Tsunami Alerts
It's been impossible to get any good information on why the Indian Ocean didn't have any kind of tsunami alert system in place, a la the Pacific Ocean's U.N.-affiliated warning center. And things just get murkier:
Red tape stopped scientists from alerting countries around the Indian Ocean to the devastating Boxing Day tsunami racing towards their shores.Scientists at the Tsunami Warning Centre in Hawaii - who have complained about being unable to find telephone numbers to alert the countries in peril - did not use an existing rapid telecommunications system set up to get warnings around the world almost instantly because the bureaucratic arrangements were not in place.
Senior UN officials attending a conference in Mauritius of small island countries - some of them badly hit by the tsunami, now recognised to have been the deadliest in history - revealed that the scientists did not use the World Meteorological Organisation's Global Telecommunication System to contact Indian Ocean countries because the "protocols were not in place".
The system is designed to get warnings from any country to all other nations within 30 minutes.
It was used to alert Pacific countries to the tsunami, even though it affected hardly any of them, and could have been used in the Indian Ocean if the threat had been from a typhoon, officials said, but it could not be used to warn about a tsunami.
Quite a teaser, there—but they don't elaborate on why this is so. I presume that the information exists among typhoon-watchers, but not in the tsunami-monitoring community. We've all heard the stories about people in the Pacific center trying to reach people in authority in Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia and Sri Lanka—without success.
[. . .] There were "approved communication channels" for warnings about tropical cyclones in the area.Michel Jarraud, secretary-general of the meteorological organisation, said the system had proved to be particularly valuable last year, which was bad for hurricanes in the Caribbean and the Pacific.
But the Governments around the Indian Ocean rejected repeated pressure from Unesco and other UN bodies for a tsunami early-warning system in their area because it was expensive, they had many calls on their resources and there had been no tsunamis in the ocean for more than 100 years.
The UN now says that the Boxing Day tsunami was the deadliest ever. The only one that even begins to rival it smashed through the Mediterranean around 1400BC after the destruction of the island of Santorini. On that occasion 100,000 people are estimated to have died.
* This week several international UN meetings begin in order to establish tsunami warning systems in the Indian Ocean and worldwide over the next 2 1/2 years.
That's odd, because I had heard that the U.N. doesn't charge member countries to be part of a tsunami alert system, and that the nations along the Indian Ocean could, at the least, have joined the Pacific warning center without any cost to them. I have heard that the coastal areas had tremendous resistance to the idea of having tsunami alerts at all, for fear that any false alarms would hurt the tourist trade.
But clearly there's a need, and the Atlantic should have this coverage as well.
My blog explores the premise that the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center didn't have the crisis communications protocols when the earthquake hit that would have enabled it to issue a usable tsunami warning via the AP, CNN, BBC, etc. Nothing written anywhere in the past four weeks suggests they tried to issue such a warning through the mass media -- even though the Center's scientists suspected a tsunami had been generated an hour before the waves hit Sri Lanka and India (according to the NOAA timeline). Instead of calling the media, they picked up their phones and called friends and colleagues in the Indian Ocean region. A UPI story carried in the Washington Times and elsewhere on January 7 said the Center doesn't even maintaiin a list of media contacts. Scientists are caught up in high-tech thinking, and you have to wonder whether NOAA's communications professionals have devised low-tech warning plans.
Well, we need to recall that it really isn't part of their mission to cover the Indian Ocean: their sensors are in the Pacific. They improvised when they were faced with an unexpected situation. I wonder whether an hour's notice would have made a difference in some of the remote areas that people presumably "get away" to in order to avoid contact with the media, etc.
"Let the issues be the issue.
About Joy W. McCann: I've been interviewed for Le Monde and mentioned on Fox News. I once did a segment for CNN on "Women and Guns," and this blog is periodically featured on the New York Times' blog list. My writing here has been quoted in California Lawyer. I've appeared on The Glenn and Helen Show. Oh—and Tammy Bruce once bought me breakfast.
My writing has appeared in The Noise, Handguns, Sports Afield, The American Spectator, and (it's a long story) L.A. Parent. This is my main blog, though I'm also an alumnus of Dean's World, and I help out on the weekends at Right Wing News.
My political philosophy is quite simple: I'm a classical liberal. In our Orwellian times, that makes me a conservative, though one of a decidedly libertarian bent.
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